Geopolitics landscape as it seems to be from the Ukrainian lowlands
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Geopolitics landscape as it seems to be from the Ukrainian lowlands

       All this recent history of NATO's movement towards Eastern Europe, progressively bringing its military structures closer to the Russian borders, it seems now, day after day, to be result of an extremily over-optimistic perception reign...

Fernando Padovani
12 min
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       All this recent history of NATO's movement towards Eastern Europe, progressively bringing its military structures closer to the Russian borders, it seems now, day after day, to be result of an extremily over-optimistic perception reigning in Western world. During a specific era when a kind of prevailing consensus was consolidated, the 1990s. all we had the perception that the Western countries would prevail economic and military and the History would came to an end. This was a time marked by the Western extreme optimism.

       Now, each time more we start feeling that optimism was momentary. It was related, among other economic indicators, to the geopolitical assessment of a Russian permanent inability to react to any Western strategic-military advance or, in other words, to the perception of a full and unquestionable permanent Western power to act freely in the geopolitics of Eastern Europe. A very similar enthusiasm that led NATO, 10 year later, to rule over regional insubordination spots, such as Afghanistan, Iraq and Syria, which led to military interventions over the following 20 years, until the bankruptcy of the campaigns and the final withdrawal from those distant and dusty regions.

       The Western momentary enthusiasm in the geopolitical chessboard of Eastern Europe was certainly inspired by the current situation of Russia, and also of other not-yet emerging countries, such as China and India, all strugling with economic and political fragility, in their process of national reconstruction. However, this situation in the World outside   the G-7 have changed radically over the last 20 years, slowly and incrementally, until the moment when it seemed clear that the correlation of forces had changed in the World, skewed in the direction of emerging economies. The military crisis in Ukraine in March 2022 and, above all, the collapse of the US military occupation in Afghanistan in July 2021, in this context, can be understood as expressions of something much more significant than local conflicts.

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